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© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Estimating intensity−duration−frequency (IDF) curves requires local historical information of precipitation intensity. When such information is unavailable, as in areas without rain gauges, it is necessary to consider other methods to estimate curve parameters. In this study, three methods were explored to estimate IDF curves in ungauged areas: Kriging (KG), Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), and Storm Index (SI). To test the viability of these methods, historical data collected from 31 rain gauges distributed in central Chile, 35° S to 38° S, are used. As a result of the reduced number of rain gauges to evaluate the performance of each method, we used LOOCV (Leaving One Out Cross Validation). The results indicate that KG was limited due to the sparse distribution of rain gauges in central Chile. SI (a linear scaling method) showed the smallest prediction error in all of the ungauged locations, and outperformed both KG and IDW. However, the SI method does not provide estimates of uncertainty, as is possible with KG. The simplicity of SI renders it a viable method for extrapolating IDF curves to locations without data in the central zone of Chile.

Details

Title
Comparing Methods for the Regionalization of Intensity−Duration−Frequency (IDF) Curve Parameters in Sparsely-Gauged and Ungauged Areas of Central Chile
Author
Sangüesa, Claudia 1 ; Pizarro, Roberto 2 ; Ingram, Ben 3   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Ibáñez, Alfredo 1 ; Rivera, Diego 4   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; García-Chevesich, Pablo 5   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Pino, Juan 6   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Pérez, Felipe 7 ; Balocchi, Francisco 8   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Peña, Francisco 9 

 UNESCO Chair Surface Hydrology, University of Talca, Talca 3467769, Chile; [email protected] (C.S.); [email protected] (A.I.); [email protected] (F.P.); Centro Nacional de Excelencia Para la Industria de la Madera (CENAMAD), Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago 7810128, Chile 
 UNESCO Chair Surface Hydrology, University of Talca, Talca 3467769, Chile; [email protected] (C.S.); [email protected] (A.I.); [email protected] (F.P.); Centro Nacional de Excelencia Para la Industria de la Madera (CENAMAD), Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago 7810128, Chile; Instituto Interdisciplinario Para la Innovación, Universidad de Talca, Talca 3467769, Chile; Facultad de Ciencias Forestales y de la Conservación de la Naturaleza, Universidad de Chile, La Pintana, Santiago 8820808, Chile 
 School of Water, Energy and Environment, Cranfield University, Cranfield MK43 0AL, UK 
 Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad del Desarrollo, Avenida Plaza 600, Santiago 7610687, Chile; [email protected] 
 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401, USA; [email protected] 
 Dirección de Transferencia Tecnológica, Universidad Tecnológica Metropolitana, Santiago 8330367, Chile; [email protected] 
 Dirección General de Aguas, Ministerio de Obras Públicas, Santiago 8340652, Chile; [email protected] 
 Ecosystems, Productivity and Climate Change, Bioforest SA, Camino a Coronel km 15, Coronel 413000, Chile; [email protected] 
 UNESCO Chair Surface Hydrology, University of Talca, Talca 3467769, Chile; [email protected] (C.S.); [email protected] (A.I.); [email protected] (F.P.) 
First page
179
Publication year
2023
Publication date
2023
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
23065338
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2869339437
Copyright
© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.