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© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to create a dynamic web-based tool to predict the risks of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus spp. (MRS) infection in patients with pneumonia. We conducted an observational study of patients with pneumonia at Cho Ray Hospital from March 2021 to March 2023. The Bayesian model averaging method and stepwise selection were applied to identify different sets of independent predictors. The final model was internally validated using the bootstrap method. We used receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration, and decision curve analyses to assess the nomogram model’s predictive performance. Based on the American Thoracic Society, British Thoracic Society recommendations, and our data, we developed a model with significant risk factors, including tracheostomies or endotracheal tubes, skin infections, pleural effusions, and pneumatoceles, and used 0.3 as the optimal cut-off point. ROC curve analysis indicated an area under the curve of 0.7 (0.63–0.77) in the dataset and 0.71 (0.64–0.78) in 1000 bootstrap samples, with sensitivities of 92.39% and 91.11%, respectively. Calibration analysis demonstrated good agreement between the observed and predicted probability curves. When the threshold is above 0.3, we recommend empiric antibiotic therapy for MRS. The web-based dynamic interface also makes our model easier to use.

Details

Title
A Web-Based Dynamic Nomogram to Predict the Risk of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcal Infection in Patients with Pneumonia
Author
Duong-Thi-Thanh, Van 1 ; Truong-Quang, Binh 2 ; Tran-Nguyen-Trong, Phu 3 ; Le-Phuong, Mai 4 ; Truong-Thien, Phu 4   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Lam-Quoc, Dung 5 ; Dang-Vu, Thong 5 ; Minh-Loi Nguyen 6   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Le-Thuong, Vu 7   VIAFID ORCID Logo 

 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected]; Faculty of Medicine, Can Tho University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Can Tho 900000, Vietnam; [email protected] 
 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected]; Department of Cardiology, University Medical Center, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam 
 Faculty of Medicine, Can Tho University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Can Tho 900000, Vietnam; [email protected]; Faculty of Medicine, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok 10330, Thailand 
 Department of Microbiology, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected] (M.L.-P.); [email protected] (P.T.-T.) 
 Department of Pulmonary, Cho Ray Hospital, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected] (D.L.-Q.); [email protected] (T.D.-V.) 
 Faculty of Information Technology, Ho Chi Minh City University of Science, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected] 
 Faculty of Medicine, University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam; [email protected]; Department of Pulmonary, University Medical Center, Ho Chi Minh 700000, Vietnam 
First page
633
Publication year
2024
Publication date
2024
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20754418
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
2991612870
Copyright
© 2024 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.