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© 2025 Xu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Objective

This study aimed to enhance the prevention and control of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and provide more effective and accurate methods in Changshu City.

Methods

The PTB patients’ information came from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention (CISDCP). The demographic data for Changshu city and towns came from the Suzhou Statistical Yearbook and the LandScan platform. ArcGIS was used for global spatial autocorrelation analysis and local spatial autocorrelation analysis. Univariate logistic regression and multivariate logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of cured PTB patients. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to analyze the predictive efficacy and clinical benefit of the indicators. XGBoost analysis was performed to explore the feature importance of key metrics for PTB outcome.

Results

A total of 3943 PTB cases were included. The annual incidence rate of new PTB in Changshu city was 27.081 per 100,000. Changshu High-tech Industrial Development Zone in Jiangsu Province and Shajiabang town were the high-high aggregation areas and hot spot areas. Diagnosis delay, TB strain types, and drug sensitivity were independent predictors of the cure of new PTB patients.

Conclusion

The central and southern areas of Changshu were the high-high cluster areas and hot spots for PTB. Shorter diagnosis delay days and mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) promote the cure of tuberculosis, while drug sensitivity was a risk factor for its cure.

Details

Title
Spatial epidemiological analysis based on township scale and analysis of influencing factors of pulmonary tuberculosis cure of Changshu city from 2015 to 2022
Author
Xiao-yan, Xu; Zheng-yuan, Zhou; Li-qiang, Gong; Li-qiang, Xu; Xiao-kang, Jiao; Bian Yin; Tian-hong, Jiang  VIAFID ORCID Logo 
First page
e0317269
Section
Research Article
Publication year
2025
Publication date
Jan 2025
Publisher
Public Library of Science
e-ISSN
19326203
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
3156421413
Copyright
© 2025 Xu et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.