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© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

This study aims to develop deep learning (DL) models to predict the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness changes in glaucoma, facilitating the early diagnosis and monitoring of disease progression. Using the longitudinal data from two glaucoma studies (Diagnostic Innovations in Glaucoma Study (DIGS) and African Descent and Glaucoma Evaluation Study (ADAGES)), we constructed models using optical coherence tomography (OCT) scans from 251 participants (437 eyes). The models were trained to predict the RNFL thickness at a future visit based on previous scans. We evaluated four models: linear regression (LR), support vector regression (SVR), gradient boosting regression (GBR), and a custom 1D convolutional neural network (CNN). The GBR model achieved the best performance in predicting pointwise RNFL thickness changes (MAE = 5.2 μm, R2 = 0.91), while the custom 1D CNN excelled in predicting changes to average global and sectoral RNFL thickness, providing greater resolution and outperforming the traditional models (MAEs from 2.0–4.2 μm, R2 from 0.94–0.98). Our custom models used a novel approach that incorporated longitudinal OCT imaging to achieve consistent performance across different demographics and disease severities, offering potential clinical decision support for glaucoma diagnosis. Patient-level data splitting enhances the evaluation robustness, while predicting detailed RNFL thickness provides a comprehensive understanding of the structural changes over time.

Details

Title
Deep Learning Approach Predicts Longitudinal Retinal Nerve Fiber Layer Thickness Changes
Author
Jalili, Jalil 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Walker, Evan 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Bowd, Christopher 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Belghith, Akram 1 ; Goldbaum, Michael H 1 ; Fazio, Massimo A 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Girkin, Christopher A 1 ; De Moraes, Carlos Gustavo 3 ; Liebmann, Jeffrey M 3 ; Weinreb, Robert N 1   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Zangwill, Linda M 1 ; Christopher, Mark 1 

 Hamilton Glaucoma Center and Division of Ophthalmology Informatics and Data Science, Shiley Eye Institute, Viterbi Family Department of Ophthalmology, University of California, San Diego, CA 92037, USA; [email protected] (J.J.); [email protected] (E.W.); [email protected] (C.B.); [email protected] (A.B.); [email protected] (M.H.G.); [email protected] (C.A.G.); [email protected] (R.N.W.); [email protected] (L.M.Z.) 
 Department of Ophthalmology and Vision Sciences, Heersink School of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL 35233, USA; [email protected] 
 Bernard and Shirlee Brown Glaucoma Research Laboratory, Department of Ophthalmology, Edward S. Harkness Eye Institute, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY 10032, USA; [email protected] (C.G.D.M.); [email protected] (J.M.L.) 
First page
139
Publication year
2025
Publication date
2025
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
23065354
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
3170945780
Copyright
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.