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© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.

Abstract

Background: Despite advances in surgical techniques and perioperative management, reliable intraoperative predictors of adverse postoperative outcomes in cardiac surgery remain elusive. This study aimed to identify perioperative factors associated with prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stay and in-hospital mortality while defining actionable thresholds. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 130 adult cardiac surgery patients (with a median age of 61 years, 66.2% men) from October 2022 to November 2024. Data on preoperative risk factors, intraoperative variables (cardiopulmonary bypass time-CPBT, aortic cross-clamp time-AXCT), and postoperative outcomes (ICU length of stay, in-hospital mortality) were extracted from electronic medical records. Results: Prolonged ICU stay (≥7 days) occurred in 38.5% of patients, and in-hospital mortality was 10%. AXCT was the sole independent predictor of prolonged ICU stay (OR = 1.046, 95% CI = 1.014–1.080, p = 0.005), with a 110-min cut-off (sensitivity 71%, specificity 61%, AUC = 0.729). A Kaplan–Meier analysis showed significantly longer ICU stays above this threshold (p = 0.006). For in-hospital mortality, prolonged CPBT (OR = 1.030, 95% CI = 1.003–1.057, p = 0.030), emergency surgery (OR = 0.043, 95% CI = 0.002–0.863, p = 0.040), and higher AXCT (OR = 0.965, 95% CI = 0.934–0.997, p = 0.034) were the independent predictors. A receiver operating characteristic analysis identified 140 min for AXCT (sensitivity 67%, specificity 70%, AUC = 0.707) and 227 min for CPBT (sensitivity 83%, specificity 69%, AUC = 0.824) as the optimal cut-offs. A combined model (emergency surgery yes/no, AXCT > 140 min, CPBT > 227 min) yielded excellent discrimination (AUC = 0.846). Conclusions: These findings suggest perioperative benchmarks that may guide surgical teams in refining operative strategies, reducing ICU resource utilization, and improving survival following cardiac surgery.

Details

Title
Predictors of Prolonged Intensive Care Unit Stay and In-Hospital Mortality Following Cardiac Surgery: An Integrated Analysis from the PROCARD-ATI Study
Author
Călin-Dinu, Hădăreanu 1 ; Diana-Ruxandra, Hădăreanu 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Flavia-Mihaela, Stoiculescu 3 ; Mihaela-Corina, Berceanu 4 ; Ionuț, Donoiu 2   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Istrătoaie Octavian 2 ; Florescu, Cristina 5   VIAFID ORCID Logo  ; Marius-Bogdan, Novac 6 ; Victor-Cornel, Raicea 4 

 Doctoral School, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania, Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Clinical Emergency County Hospital of Craiova, 1 Tabaci St., 200642 Craiova, Romania 
 Department of Cardiology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania; [email protected] (I.D.);, Department of Cardiology, Clinical Emergency County Hospital of Craiova, 1 Tabaci St., 200642 Craiova, Romania 
 Doctoral School, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania, Department of Cardiology, Clinical Emergency County Hospital of Craiova, 1 Tabaci St., 200642 Craiova, Romania 
 Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Clinical Emergency County Hospital of Craiova, 1 Tabaci St., 200642 Craiova, Romania, Department of Cardiology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania; [email protected] (I.D.); 
 Department of Cardiology, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania; [email protected] (I.D.);, Department of Cardiology, Filantropia Clinical Hospital of Craiova, 28 Sararilor St., 200516 Craiova, Romania 
 Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, University of Medicine and Pharmacy of Craiova, 2 Petru Rares St., 200349 Craiova, Romania 
First page
2747
Publication year
2025
Publication date
2025
Publisher
MDPI AG
e-ISSN
20770383
Source type
Scholarly Journal
Language of publication
English
ProQuest document ID
3194616110
Copyright
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.