Correspondence to Dr Fabio Quartieri; [email protected]
WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPIC
Previous randomised trials demonstrated that continuous monitoring with insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) significantly enhances atrial fibrillation (AF) detection in cryptogenic stroke subjects compared with standard care, though reported detection rates vary across studies.
WHAT THIS STUDY ADDS
This prospective, multicentre study demonstrates high AF detection rates using Confirm Rx ICM in cryptogenic stroke subjects: 21.3% (95% CI 15.3% to 29.1%) at 6 months and 48.8% (95% CI 34.7% to 64.9%) at 24 months. Subjects with AF detection experienced an average of 50.9 true AF episodes per subject per year, with shorter but more frequent episodes compared with previous studies. Age and hyperlipidaemia emerged as significant independent predictors for 30 s AF detection.
HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICY
These findings provide evidence supporting extended cardiac monitoring in cryptogenic stroke subjects and suggest the need for refined approaches to AF burden assessment. The high detection rate and distinctive AF patterns observed may influence clinical decision-making regarding monitoring strategies and anticoagulation initiation thresholds.
Introduction
Cryptogenic stroke (CS), a heterogeneous condition, is defined as an ischaemic stroke where no identifiable cause is found despite comprehensive diagnostic evaluation.1 The classification of stroke subtypes according to the Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment criteria is widely used; CS is diagnosed only after ruling out major causative mechanisms.2 According to the American Heart Association (AHA), ischaemic stroke is considered cryptogenic when the cause of ischaemic stroke remains undetermined after a standard evaluation involving basic laboratory tests, brain imaging, neurovascular imaging and cardiac evaluation.3
According to a meta-analysis of 50 studies, nearly 25% of subjects experiencing ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) have newly detected atrial fibrillation (AF) through sequential cardiac monitoring methods.4 Atrial high-rate episodes (AHRE), including subclinical AF detected by implanted devices in individuals with no prior AF history, occur in approximately 20% of subjects 1 year after cardiac device implantation. AHRE and subclinical AF are associated with clinical AF and stroke risk.5 The prospective ASSERT study linked subclinical atrial tachyarrhythmia to ischaemic stroke among older adults with hypertension, no history of AF and recent pacemaker or defibrillator implantation, compared with those without detected atrial tachyarrhythmia.6 Additionally, the risk of stroke associated with AF is similar for symptomatic and asymptomatic subjects.7
Further randomised trials, such as CRYSTAL-AF, have demonstrated that continuous monitoring with insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) significantly enhances the detection of AF in subjects with CS compared with standard care, which typically involves intermittent short-term monitoring.8–10 These findings highlight the limitations of conventional monitoring approaches and suggest the potential benefit of long-term continuous monitoring strategies. The identification of AF following CS carries significant therapeutic implications; more than 80% of North American providers initiate anticoagulation on discovering occult AF. AHA guidelines recommend prolonged cardiac monitoring (COR: 2a and LOE: B-R) in CS subjects and anticoagulation if occult AF is found, regardless of duration.3 11 Early detection of AF and appropriate anticoagulant therapy in high-risk subjects has the potential to substantially reduce stroke rates and morbidity.12 Therefore, AF detection is integral to a comprehensive approach to patient care.
This study aims to evaluate AF incidence in subjects with CS using an ICM, based on interim results from the CS substudy of the SMART Registry.
Methods
A prospective, single-arm, multicentre registry was conducted to identify AF in subjects with CS using the Confirm Rx ICM from Abbott (California, USA). Eligible participants were aged 40 years or older and had experienced a stroke or TIA within the previous 90 days, with diagnosis supported by consistent symptoms and findings on either brain MRI or CT. Stroke was classified as cryptogenic after comprehensive diagnostic testing, including 12-lead ECG, ≥24 hours of ECG monitoring, transoesophageal echocardiography (TEE) and screening for thrombophilic states (in subjects <55 years), along with MR angiography (MRA), (CT angiography (CTA) or catheter angiography of the head and neck. Additionally, TEE or intracardiac echocardiography (ICE) was performed to rule out intracardiac thrombus, and CTA or MRA of the head and neck was conducted to exclude other stroke pathologies. Ultrasonography of cervical arteries and transcranial Doppler ultrasonography were permitted for subjects over 55 years as alternatives to MRA or CTA. Subjects with TIA were included if presenting symptoms included speech problems, limb weakness or hemianopsia. Exclusion criteria encompassed a history of AF or atrial flutter, eligibility or ineligibility for permanent oral anticoagulant therapy at enrolment, and indication for a pacemaker or implantable cardioverter–defibrillator.
Prior to enrolment, all subjects underwent thorough diagnostic assessments to systematically exclude potential embolic sources, in accordance with minimal standards outlined in American and European Guidelines. The inclusion and exclusion criteria (see online supplemental table 3) were carefully selected to closely match the study population from the Crystal AF trial (online supplemental file 2).9 Prior to analysis, all enrolled subjects underwent a systematic review to verify complete adherence to inclusion/exclusion criteria and protocol-specified procedures. Subjects who did not meet all protocol requirements were excluded from the analysis population. This approach aimed to offer a historical comparison with the two randomised groups in the Crystal AF study: those monitored continuously with ICM and those monitored with alternative methods, such as repeated ECGs or Holter tests.
The subject’s medical history, the date when index stroke or TIA occurred and the use of medications were recorded. Expert electrophysiologists reviewed and adjudicated AF episodes detected by the ICM during follow-up visits.
The primary endpoint is the cumulative incidence of true device-detected AF (lasting more than 30 s) at 6 months postinsertion of the Confirm Rx ICM, as determined by expert electrophysiologists at the participating site. The secondary endpoint is the cumulative incidence of true device-detected AF (lasting more than 30 s) at 24 months postinsertion of the Confirm Rx ICM, as determined by expert electrophysiologists at the participating site. The CS substudy followed subjects for 24 months.
AF monitoring strategies
Subjects underwent assessment at scheduled and unscheduled visits, with cardiac arrhythmias adjudicated by the site investigators. The ICM used (Abbott, Sylmar, California, USA) automatically detects and records AF, regardless of heart rate or symptoms. Merlin.net remote monitoring platform was used to transmit device data remotely. Follow-up visits were scheduled at 1, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months, with unscheduled visits in the event of symptom occurrence or after the transmission of ICM data, if advised by the investigator. If subjects reported an episode of AF since the previous visit, information was collected, and source documentation was acquired for adjudication.
Statistical analysis
Continuous variables were summarised by mean±SD if they had a normal distribution or by median and IQR if they had a skewed distribution. Categorical variables were summarised by frequency and percentage. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyse time to AF detection data and estimate the rate of AF detection, and the log-log method was used to estimate the 95% CI. For subjects who experienced an AF detection, the AF-free survival time was calculated as the number of months from ICM implant to the date of AF detection. Subjects were censored at the time of withdrawal for subjects who withdrew from the study (due to death, device explant, lost to follow-up or subject request) without AF detected. For subjects who did not have AF detected at the time of data cut-off, subjects were censored on the date of cut-off. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to evaluate significant predictors for 30 s AF detection at 24 months. Analyses were conducted using SAS V.9.4 software.
Patient consent
Patients were involved in this study through the informed consent process after device implantation. While they were not involved in the initial research design, their feedback influenced the implementation of remote monitoring protocols and follow-up schedules. Patients receive ongoing communication about their device data through scheduled remote monitoring sessions at 18 and 24 months postinsertion. No public involvement was included in this study design.
Results
Study population
A total of 171 subjects were enrolled in the study across 20 global sites from September 2021 to 31 January 2024. The study is currently in the follow-up phase, with the last subject follow-up visit expected in January 2025. As of the data cut-off date on 12 April 2024, 16 subjects did not meet inclusion/exclusion criteria, and therefore, 155 subjects were considered for analyses. 115 subjects had completed the 6-month follow-up visits, while a cumulative total of 4 had withdrawn, 1 missed the 6-month visit and 35 were pending their 6-month visit (online supplemental figure 1). For the 12-month follow-up, 80 subjects had completed their visits, with a cumulative total of 7 withdrawals, 6 missed visits, and 27 pending visits. At the 18-month follow-up, 59 subjects had completed their visits, with 10 cumulative withdrawals, 11 missed visits and 13 pending visits. By the 24-month follow-up, 29 subjects had completed their visits, with 15 withdrawals, 4 missed visits and 32 pending visits, resulting in a total follow-up duration of 151.6 subject years.
ICMs remained in 94.8% (147/155) of subjects. ICMs were removed due to battery end of service (3), subject death (2), at subject request (1), pacemaker implantation (2).
Baseline characteristics
Among 171 enrolled subjects, 155 subjects completed all required diagnostic tests (MRI or CT, 12 lead ECG, 24 hours ECG, TEE/ICE, head and neck CTA or MRA). Ultrasonography of cervical arteries and transcranial Doppler ultrasonography were permitted for subjects over 55 years as alternatives to MRA or CTA. All analyses presented are based on the 155 subjects who fully met the study criteria, ensuring data integrity and protocol compliance.
The baseline characteristics of the study population are detailed in table 1. The mean age of the participants was 64±10 years, with 34.2% being women. Hypertension was present in 49.0% of the subjects. The average CHA2DS2-VASc score among the participants was 3.5±1.5. All enrolled subjects had experienced a recent episode of cryptogenic ischaemic stroke within the preceding 90 days.
Table 1Baseline demographics
Characteristic | N=155 |
Age mean±SD (years) | 64±10 |
Female gender, % (n/N) | 34.2% (53/155) |
Europe | 17.4% (27/155) |
North America | 3.2% (5/155) |
Asia | 79.4% (123/155) |
Index event stroke | 100% (155/155) |
Hypertension | 49.0% (76/155) |
Hyperlipidaemia | 27.1% (42/155) |
Diabetes | 23.9% (37/155) |
Coronary artery disease | 9.0% (14/155) |
CHA2DS2-VASc score, mean±SD | 3.5±1.5 |
0 | 1.4% (2/142) |
1 | 6.3% (9/142) |
2 | 16.9% (24/142) |
3 | 26.8% (38/142) |
4 | 26.8% (38/142) |
5 | 9.2% (13/142) |
6 | 11.3% (16/142) |
7 | 1.4% (2/142) |
Unknown | 8.4% (13/155) |
24 hours ECG monitoring | 100% (155/155) |
AF detection
Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a 21.3% incidence (95% CI 15.3% to 29.1%) of true AF episodes lasting more than 30 s at 6 months (figure 1). Notably, the first AF episode was detected in two subjects on the same day as the ICM insertion. By the 6-month mark, AF episodes were detected in 30 subjects cumulatively. The median time from the insertion of ICM to AF detection (episodes lasting more than 30 s) was 10 days (IQR 3–43 days) among a total of 30 subjects who had experienced their first AF episodes through 6 months.
Figure 1. Time to first detection of atrial fibrillation (30 s). AF, atrial fibrillation.
Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a 49.2% incidence (95% CI 35.1% to 65.3%) of true AF episodes lasting more than 30 s at 24 months (figure 1). The median time from the insertion of ICM to AF detection (episodes lasting more than 30 s) was 72 days (IQR 7–261 days) among a total of 46 subjects who had experienced their first AF episodes through 24 months.
Incidence of AF lasting over 6 min at 6 months was 15.9% (95% CI 10.7% to 23.3%) and at 24 months was 36.2% (95% CI 25.4% to 49.6%). The incidence of AF lasting over 1 hour, 6 hours and 24 hours is also shown in figure 2.
Figure 2. Time to first detection of atrial fibrillation (30 s, 6 min, 1 hour, 12 hours, 24 hours). AF, atrial fibrillation.
Clinical actions
Various clinical actions were taken in response to 30 s AF detections throughout the study.
Throughout the study, AF was detected in a total of 46 subjects. Clinical actions were taken for 31 of these subjects. Among those who received clinical interventions, 30 subjects were prescribed new medications, 3 subjects underwent right atrial ablation and 5 subjects had left atrial ablation.
Anticoagulants prescription
Among subjects with 30 s AF detection, anticoagulation therapy was initiated in 65.2% (30/46) of subjects. For those with 6 min AF detection, anticoagulation therapy was initiated in 64.7% (22/34) of subjects. For subjects with longer AF episodes, the initiation rates were: 76.2% (16/21) for 1-hour detection, 76.9% (10/13) for 6-hour detection and 62.5% it was initiated in 76.2% (16/21) of subjects; for those with 6 hours AF detection, it was initiated in 76.9% (10/13) of subjects; for those with 24 hours AF detection, it was initiated in 62.5% (5/8) of subjects. Anticoagulation therapy was prescribed in 8.3% (9/109) of subjects without detected AF episodes.
Recurrence of stroke
During a mean follow-up of 11.7±7.4 months, ischaemic stroke or TIA recurred in 5 subjects (3.2%, 5/155), with a mean time to recurrence of 9.6±5.7 months from enrolment. None of these five subjects had detected AF at the time of their recurrent events. Three subjects experienced strokes within the first 6 months after enrolment (at 4.3, 6.2 and 6.3 months), one subject at 13.5 months and another at 17.7 months.
Duration of AF
46 subjects with detected AF experienced an average of 50.9 true AF episodes per subject per year. The maximum duration of AF of a single episode in a single day (within the first 6 months) had a skewed distribution among patients, with a median equal to 5.08 min (IQR 2.03–12.61 min) (figure 3).
Figure 3. Maximum AF duration of a single episode in an individual subject (within the first 6 months). **One subject with maximum AF duration indicated as >24 hours is included here. AF, atrial fibrillation.
Independent predictors for incidence of AF
The results of the logistic regression model show that elderly age (OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.14, p=0.0001) and hyperlipidaemia (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.06 to 5.29, p=0.035) are significant independent predictors for incidence of 30 s and AF in CS subjects (table 2). For 6 min AF detection, only elderly age remained significant (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.13, p=0.0012). For 1-hour AF detection, ischaemic condition (OR 14.20, 95% CI 1.30 to 154.83, p=0.0295) and peripheral vascular disease (OR 25.74, 95% CI 2.00 to 331.81, p=0.0128) emerged as significant predictors. For 24-hour AF, hyperlipidaemia (OR 14.77, 95% CI 1.57 to 139.14, p=0.0186) and prior PTCA (OR 13.72, 95% CI 1.53 to 122.98, p=0.0192) were significant predictors (online supplemental table 1).
Table 2Logistic regression results (incidence of 30 s AF vs no AF)
Parameters | Univariate analysis | Multivariable analysis | ||||
Parameter estimate (95% CI) | P value | Sample size | Parameter estimate (95% CI) | P value | Sample size | |
Age | 1.083 (1.039 to 1.129) | 0.0002 | 155 | 1.09 (1.04 to 1.14) | 0.0001 | 155 |
Unstable angina, Yes vs No | 0.785 (0.080 to 7.753) | 0.8360 | 155 | |||
Prior CABG, Yes vs No | 0.000 (0.000 to 1) | 0.9888 | 155 | |||
CAD, Yes vs No | 1.894 (0.618 to 5.805) | 0.2637 | 155 | |||
CHA2DS2-VASc score | 1.189 (0.930 to 1.521) | 0.1673 | 142 | |||
Ischaemic vs non-ischaemic | 2.431 (0.332 to 17.806) | 0.3818 | 155 | |||
COPD asthma, Yes vs No | 1.189 (0.105 to 13.445) | 0.8888 | 155 | |||
Diabetes, Yes vs No | 1.186 (0.535 to 2.627) | 0.6744 | 155 | |||
LVEF | 0.987 (0.946 to 1.029) | 0.5286 | 138 | |||
Hyperlipidaemia, Yes vs No | 2.277 (1.080 to 4.799) | 0.0305 | 155 | 2.37 (1.06 to 5.29) | 0.0350 | 155 |
Hypertension, Yes vs No | 1.740 (0.866 to 3.496) | 0.1198 | 155 | |||
Liver disease, Yes vs No | 0.785 (0.080 to 7.753) | 0.8360 | 155 | |||
Other CV, Yes vs No | 0.691 (0.181 to 2.635) | 0.5882 | 155 | |||
MI, Yes vs No | 1.606 (0.259 to 9.947) | 0.6105 | 155 | |||
Prior PTCA, Yes vs No | 0.946 (0.177 to 5.061) | 0.9483 | 155 | |||
PVD, Yes vs No | 4.909 (0.434 to 55.533) | 0.1986 | 155 | |||
Renal disease, Yes vs No | 0.946 (0.177 to 5.061) | 0.9483 | 155 | |||
Female vs male | 0.501 (0.230 to 1.093) | 0.0826 | 155 | 0.46 (0.20 to 1.07) | 0.0714 | 155 |
Stroke | 0.000 (0.000 to 1) | 0.9779 | 155 | |||
Thyroid, Yes vs No | 3.733 (0.602 to 23.126) | 0.1570 | 155 |
AF, Atrial Fibrillation; CABG, Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting; COPD, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease; LVEF, Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction; PTCA, Percutaneous Transluminal Coronary Angioplasty; PVD, Peripheral Vascular Disease.
Discussion
In this international prospective observational study, we analysed 155 subjects diagnosed with CS after comprehensive diagnostic assessments to thoroughly rule out all potential sources of embolism, in accordance with current guidelines and consensus papers.1–3
Main study results
We found that (1) ICMs provided a high rate of AF detection and (2) ICM-driven AF detection triggered OAC prescription and other clinical interventions in a relevant proportion of patients.
AF detection rate
In our study, the incidence of detected AF (>30 s) was 21.3% at 6 months and 48.8% at 2 years. These rates differ from previous studies in CS patients. When interpreting these differences, several factors warrant consideration. First, the duration of non-invasive cardiac monitoring prior to ICM implantation is a critical determinant of subsequent AF detection rates, as longer preimplant monitoring periods might select populations with different propensities for AF detection. While technical differences between monitoring devices might contribute to varying detection rates, this comparison is inherently limited by potential differences in preimplant screening durations across studies. The pattern of AF detection in our cohort showed some distinct characteristics. We observed more frequent but shorter episodes (median maximum daily AF duration 39.5 min) compared with CRYSTAL-AF (median 11.2 hours). This observation aligns with contemporary understanding that AF patterns can be highly variable, ranging from brief, frequent episodes to longer, less frequent occurrences. Interestingly, three other studies confirmed that ICM used in our study has been shown in a randomised study to provide a high arrhythmia detection yield.13–15 Ziegler et al14 evaluated a cohort of 1247 US patients with CS and monitored with the same ICM used in the Crystal AF study, and they found an AF detection rate of 12.2% at 6 months and 21.5% at 2 years, which are similar to Crystal AF study findings and much lower than our study findings. Boriani et al15 described the detection of AF using the same ICM used in our study in a cohort of US adults who were hospitalised with ischaemic stroke, which was cryptogenic in about 90% of patients. They reported that the AF detection rate was 33.9% at 2 years, which was slightly lower than the incidence found in our study but much higher than that found in Crystal AF9 and that reported by Ziegler et al.14 These differences across studies likely reflect the complex interplay of multiple factors, including patient characteristics, monitoring duration and AF patterns.
Recent clinical trials and anticoagulation strategy
The optimal management strategy for device-detected AF after CS requires careful consideration in light of recent evidence. The NOAH trial investigated edoxaban in patients with subclinical AF without prior stroke; however, it did not demonstrate a benefit of edoxaban in terms of reduction in the primary endpoint and actually showed harm with increased major bleeding events.16 Meanwhile, ARTESIA showed that apixaban reduced stroke risk in patients with device-detected subclinical AF ≥6 min. The recent subgroup analysis in patients with prior stroke further supports this approach.17 Although these trials reported lower event rates than our study (our recurrent stroke/TIA rate was 3.2%), this difference likely reflects our higher-risk population of CS patients. Notably, in our cohort, all five recurrent events occurred in patients without detected AF at the time of their events, and only one was on OAC therapy. This observation, combined with evidence from ARTESIA supporting anticoagulation in subclinical AF, suggests that a more aggressive anticoagulation strategy might be warranted in poststroke patients with device-detected AF. However, the optimal AF duration threshold for initiating anticoagulation remains uncertain, particularly given our finding of frequent but shorter AF episodes (median maximum daily duration 39.5 min) compared with previous studies. Further research is needed to determine whether lower AF duration thresholds for anticoagulation might benefit this high–risk population.
Anticoagulants prescription
Anticoagulation therapy has been prescribed in our study in 65.2% of subjects with 30 s of AF detection. This rate is lower than that (92%) observed in the Crystal AF study, but it is important to outline that in the Crystal AF study, 100% of patients with AF episode duration longer than 1 hour received OAC therapy, but only 70% of patients with shorter AF durations (<1 hour) were prescribed with OAC. Several aspects can explain our OAC prescription rate (65.2%); first of all, while we observed more AF episodes than Crystal AF, the duration of AF in our cohort was shorter than that observed in Crystal AF, and that could have guided some investigators towards a more conservative anticoagulation approach. In our study, the median maximum daily AF duration was 39.5 min, while it was 11.2 hours in the Crystal AF study. It is also important to outline the fact that after CRYSTAL AF, some studies16 18 19 have questioned the clinical benefit of initiating OAC therapy after detection of short subclinical AF episodes.
Independent predictors for AF in CS patients
In our study, age was significantly associated with AF detection. This result adds further evidence to the observation of Crystal AF investigators,20 who found that age was independently associated with ICM-driven AF detection. These findings were expected since several studies have shown that AF, including long-duration AF and asymptomatic AF, is more frequent with older age.21 22
Clinical implications
Our findings should be interpreted within the current evidence framework regarding device-detected AF and stroke risk. Two distinct but related aspects need to be considered in interpreting these results. The association between device-detected AF and stroke risk represents the first key consideration. Several observational studies have demonstrated an association between AHRE (>5 min) and increased stroke risk.23 24 In the study recently published by Yaghi et al,25 ICM use was associated with a significantly reduced risk of death with HR=0.70, 95% CI (0.55 to 0.89). Also, in the meta-analysis performed by Tsivgoulis et al26 ICM use, compared with conventional monitoring in CS patients, was associated with increased AF detection yield, higher OAC initiation and decreased risk of recurrent stroke with ICM. However, it is important to note that this association does not necessarily establish a causal relationship between device-detected AF episodes and stroke events. The temporal relationship between AF episodes and stroke events remains complex and incompletely understood. In our study, notably, all five recurrent strokes occurred in patients without detected AF at the time of their events, further highlighting this complexity.
The therapeutic implications of device-detected AF constitute the second critical aspect requiring careful consideration. The optimal management strategy for device-detected AF, particularly regarding anticoagulation, remains uncertain. Current evidence for anticoagulation in device-detected AF comes primarily from two recent trials: the NOAH trial, studying patients with subclinical AF but no prior stroke, and the ARTESIA trial, examining patients with device-detected subclinical AF ≥6 min. However, it is crucial to note that these trials included patients with pacemakers or ICDs, not stroke patients with ICMs. Therefore, their findings cannot be directly extrapolated to our population of CS patients. Currently, there is limited evidence demonstrating that anticoagulation in device-detected AF after stroke prevents recurrent ischaemic events.
Our observation of a 65.2% anticoagulation rate in AF-detected patients reflects this ongoing uncertainty in clinical practice. The decision to anticoagulate remains individualised, considering factors such as AF burden and pattern, patient-specific stroke risk factors and the balance between stroke prevention and bleeding risk. Continuous AF monitoring through ICMs provides valuable information about arrhythmia burden and patterns, which can inform clinical decision-making,27 and it may have clinical relevance to avoid AF-related silent brain infarcts that may deteriorate cognitive function28 and in specific patients, such as patients with paroxysmal, infrequent and asymptomatic AF.29–34
Limitations
Several limitations of our study should be acknowledged. First, our study had a single-arm observational design; therefore, we cannot directly compare our findings with alternative monitoring strategies. Second, patient enrolment averaged approximately four patients per centre per year; this number may seem low, but we believe it reflects the rigorous inclusion criteria and comprehensive screening process required to establish CS diagnosis. While this thorough screening process helped ensure a well-characterised study population, it may have affected the generalisability of our findings. Third, AF episodes were adjudicated by expert electrophysiologists at each participating site rather than by a central independent committee. Although all participating electrophysiologists followed standardised criteria for AF diagnosis and the adjudication process was carefully documented at each site, we acknowledge that central adjudication might have provided additional standardisation. Fourth, while we observed patients for up to 24 months, longer follow-up might provide additional insights into AF patterns and stroke recurrence. Finally, the relatively small sample size resulted in wide CIs for some of our analyses, particularly at later time points. It is difficult to compare studies that could have added different durations of non-invasive monitoring prior to ILR implant because these possible differences could have selected populations with a different propensity to have subsequent episodes, and that difference could have resulted in different incidences of ICM detected AF. Despite these limitations, we believe that our findings contribute meaningful data regarding AF detection in CS patients and align with emerging evidence from contemporary studies using similar monitoring approaches.
Conclusions
Long-term continuous monitoring with Confirm Rx ICM demonstrated a substantial AF detection rate of 21.3% at 6 months and 48.8% at 24 months in CS patients. These findings support the value of extended cardiac monitoring in this population, through the optimal management strategy for device-detected AF continues to evolve.
The authors thank Wenjiao Lin and Allison Havener for conducting statistical analyses.
Data availability statement
No data are available. The study protocol and statistical analysis plan will be made available on reasonable request to the corresponding author.
Ethics statements
Patient consent for publication
Not applicable.
Ethics approval
Approval for the study protocol was obtained from all relevant institutional review boards or ethics committees across participating centres in South Korea, Japan, Germany, Italy, Slovakia, Singapore, Portugal and the USA. Written informed consent was obtained from all subjects prior to enrolment, in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and local regulations.
Contributors FQ, Y-SB, J-SP, T-HK, KH, MM, K-WK and LK were involved in subject recruitment, data collection and manuscript preparation. FQ, LF, KL and AG contributed to study design and data interpretation. All authors participated in manuscript review and revision. As the guarantor of this work, FQ had full access to all study data and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. All authors approved the final version of the manuscript. FQ is the guarantor.
Competing interests FQ received consultancy fees from Abbott. T-HK received consultancy fees from Abbott. K-WK received consultancy fees from Abbott. LF, KL and AG are Abbott employees.
Patient and public involvement statement Subjects were involved in this study following device implantation through the informed consent process. While subjects were not involved in the initial research design phase, their feedback influenced the implementation of remote monitoring protocols and follow-up schedules. The Merlin.net remote monitoring platform was used to transmit device data remotely, with scheduled follow-up visits at 1, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months. Subjects receive ongoing communication regarding their device data through these scheduled remote monitoring sessions. No public involvement was included in the study design or conduct.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Supplemental material This content has been supplied by the author(s). It has not been vetted by BMJ Publishing Group Limited (BMJ) and may not have been peer-reviewed. Any opinions or recommendations discussed are solely those of the author(s) and are not endorsed by BMJ. BMJ disclaims all liability and responsibility arising from any reliance placed on the content. Where the content includes any translated material, BMJ does not warrant the accuracy and reliability of the translations (including but not limited to local regulations, clinical guidelines, terminology, drug names and drug dosages), and is not responsible for any error and/or omissions arising from translation and adaptation or otherwise.
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Abstract
Background
The detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) after a cryptogenic stroke (CS) carries important therapeutic implications. In this study, we aimed to accurately assess the incidence of AF among CS subjects by using an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM).
Methods
A prospective, single-arm, multicentre registry was conducted to identify AF in 155 CS subjects using the Confirm Rx ICM (Abbott, California, USA) across 20 global sites. Inclusion criteria comprised participants aged 40 years or older who had experienced CS within a 90-day window. At each follow-up visit, expert electrophysiologists reviewed and adjudicated ICM detected AF episodes. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of true device-detected AF (lasting more than 30 s) at 6 months, evaluated with Kaplan-Meier methods.
Results
AF incidence was 21.3% (95% CI 15.3% to 29.1%) at 6 months, increasing to 48.8% (95% CI 34.7% to 64.9%) at 24 months. Subjects with AF detection experienced an average of 50.9 true AF episodes per subject per year. The median time from implantation to AF detection (>30 s) was 72 days (IQR 7–261). Among subjects with 30 s AF detection, anticoagulation therapy was initiated in 65.2% (30/46) of subjects. Oral anticoagulation medication was prescribed in 8.3% (9/109) of subjects without AF. Recurrent ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack occurred in 5 subjects (3.2%, 5/155).
Conclusion
These results show that ICM-driven long-term continuous AF monitoring is associated with high diagnostic yield in CS subjects.
Trial registration number
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1 Arcispedale Santa Maria Nuova di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy
2 Cardiology, Inha University Hospital, Incheon, Korea (the Republic of)
3 Dong-A University, Busan, Korea (the Republic of)
4 Division of Cardiology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seodaemun-gu, Korea (the Republic of)
5 Seirei Hamamatsu General Hospital, Hamamatsu, Japan
6 Yokohamashintoshi Neurosurgical Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
7 Eulji University Hospital, Daejeon, Korea (the Democratic People’s Republic of)
8 Abbott, Chicago, Illinois, USA
9 Asklepios Klinik St Georg, Hamburg, Germany