Regional flood frequency analysis for flood index estimation in hydrologic regions with limited flood data

Abstract

The objective of this study is to establish a regional relationship between mean annual peak flood and the catchment area based on the annual peak flood frequency analysis. Annual peak flood time series for various gauging sites of six basins in north part of Iraq are used in analysis. The procedure of analysis is approached by scaling a regional flood frequency distribution (index-flood of catchment) which is defined here as the mean annual maximum flood discharge and estimated by linear regression using physiographic and climatic catchment properties. The index-flood method was found to have slightly better prediction accuracies over the direct-regression method. The coefficient of determination R² between reference and estimated index-floods is relatively high in most cases for all the gauging stations. All regions give very high R ² correlation and the best model is the model (2), which is also associated with minimum value of RMSE.