Abstract
The modern panacea for many economic and political ills is regional integration. South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was also established aiming at regional integration and economic connectivity. However, for many years, its performance proved to be disappointing because of a lot of political riddles. SAARC critics bring up causes for ineffectiveness of SAARC as an argument to look for options beyond SAARC and find alternate avenues for regional cooperation. A?s a matter of fact, renewed efforts rethinking regional priorities and enabling SAARC to fulfill its promises are need of the hour, not the other way around. The revitalization of SAARC, in this regard, could be a better option for South Asian integration. Additionally, with a pragmatic way forward, challenges can be turned into opportunities. Therefore, this paper tries to reestablish the relevance of SAARC in contemporary regional environment by highlighting objectives behind its origin, its previous achievements and capacity to bring all SAARC members on the same page for regional growth. Moreover, it tries to proffer the fact that SAARC is still alive and regional states can adopt a collective course of action to make it effective.
Keywords: SAARC, Regionalism, South Asia, Rejuvenation, Integration.
Introduction
On March 6, 2018, Prime Minister of Pakistan, Shahid Khaqan Abbasi during his visit to South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) Secretariat in Kathmandu (Nepal), reiterated Pakistan's commitment to revitalize the organization for improvement of South Asian region. While discussing the significance of the association he affirmed that Pakistan and Sri Lanka need to 'work together' to revive the SAARC forum as a vibrant platform for regional cooperation.1 Historically, SAARC came into being on December 8, 1985 with the initiative of the then President of Bangladesh Zia ur Rehman. The establishment of SAARC was mainly aimed at finalization of a regional cooperation for not only solving the conflicting issues between regional states through diplomatic means but also to identify the areas of cooperation to augment South Asian economic growth. In pursuance of these objectives, the core aim of SAARC includes enhancing South Asian self-reliance, diminishing trust deficit among regional states, assisting one another in socio-economic and technological fields and promoting as well as streamlining an agenda of common regional interest on international forums. Resultantly, "SAARC identified various areas of cooperation in different fields such as agriculture and rural development; science and technology; meteorology; transport; telecommunications; biotechnology; environment and forestry; tourism; energy; women, youth and children; health and population; education, arts, culture and sports; and intellectual property rights etc."2 By the same token, a number of initiatives, agreements and conventions were also concluded by SAARC. Though SAARC's initial achievements are praiseworthy, it has not been able to come up to the expectations of South Asian people. Its failures are more pronounced than its achievements. The critics of SAARC blame that the organization could not succeed due to the fact that SAARC countries remained embroiled in mutual conflicts. Some of them like India and Pakistan, because of their territorial disputes, preferred geopolitics over socioeconomic development. Notwithstanding that, much time has been wasted and SAARC has not been able to work effectively for the welfare of South Asian people, there is a possibility that in the new era of geoeconomics, revitalization of SAARC will still be beneficial for the people of the regional states. The accomplishments of other such organizations like Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN), European Union (EU) and Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) etc., can be broadly taken as models for SAARC to follow. Moreover, China's inclusion into SAARC can also augment regional economic integration and intra-regional/interregional connectivity. So, in order to meet the above-stated goals, this study in detail aims to investigate the challenges to SAARC and suggests plausible measures to revitalize the organization for achieving regional peace through economic integration.
Theoretical Perspective
Regionalism, according to the optimists, improves the prospects of a multilateral system. It has gained its importance by becoming a dominant feature in international politics. Though the tilt towards regionalism started after the end of World War II, it rose to the dominant themes of world politics only in the post-Cold War era. Regionalism, in its essence, is aimed at tackling the problems of economic or security cooperation ingrained in the competitive tendencies of globalization. As a response, states' driven regional or sub-regional cooperation as well as integration policies effectively challenged international competition by facilitating economic growth of several regions. The regional organizations like "ASEAN, EU, and North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA) are few examples of such integration. For this purpose, the degree of economic integration ranges from preferential trade arrangements (PTA) to free trade area (FTA), customs union (CU), common market (CM) and economic union (EU)."3
Led by the consensus of regional states, the process of regionalism may be defined as "a limited number of states linked by a geographical relationship and by a degree of mutual interdependence", and could be distinguished as per "the level and scope of exchange, formal organizations, and political interdependence."4 These exchanges usually result in signing of agreement that can be "explicit and implicit principles, norms, rules and decision-making procedures around which actors' expectations converge in a given area of international relations."5After starting the procedure, the foreign policy and political events of regional states kindle the process of regional integration as a result of which renewed cooperation in many fields like cultural, economic, political and security get initiated. Besides, the civil society of the region not only keeps an eye on the working of the organization but also facilitates communication and convergence process. "Cohesion of an integrated system can be measured by its capacity to withstand stress and strain, support disequilibria, and resist disruptions. Thus, strain-survival capacity of an integrated system is directly proportional to its cohesion."6
Integration of a region can be operationalized though many ways wherein "Supra-nationalism" and "inter-governmentalism" are the most used ones by the international community.7 In this vein, "Functionalism" with its supranational structure has been the lynchpin of the formation of EU. Though the proposition of the making of EU started with "Intergovernmentalism but federalists' idea won, and the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) was established". This supranational structure was one of the main reasons for the successful operability of ECSC as it separated politics from economic decisions. In a similar manner, neofunctionalism established a framework to comprehend the phenomenon of European integration with respect to supranational bodies. This model is based on several pillars. First, cooperation in one sector by two or a group of nations facilitates cooperation in other sectors as well. Second, economic integration usually results in increasing the interaction between regional actors. As a result, sub-state actors start cooperating politically with regional political leaders. Third, the supranational body automatically pursues tactics to deepen regional integration by expanding the ambit of cooperation and promoting benefits of further integration. Overall, the most important neo-functionalism's concept is 'spillover' wherein integration in one sector generates incentives for integration in other areas too. For instance, "European cooperation in coal and steel was not fully achieved without integrating transport sector."8
Since its inception, on the contrary, SAARC is being run through intergovernmental method of governance that has achieved nothing other than minor gains through SAARC Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA), showing SAARC failures in achieving economic integration, let alone political coherence. That is why, EU model of integrationfunctionalism will not be a bad idea for SAARC to operate better for its member countries.
In sum, it can be inferred that regional integration results in the harmonization of regional trade policies which lead to economic integration as well as increased regional economic growth rate. In other words, it turns regional heterogeneity into homogeneity, which usually leads to prosperity of the people of that particular region. Likewise, South Asian regionalism or homogeneity was the brainchild of Bangladesh in the shape of SAARC.
Origin and Objectives of SAARC
The rationale for the establishment of SAARC was to improve regional cooperation. Prior to SAARC's establishment, the matter of regional cooperation was raised in different conferences including April 1947 "Asian Relations Conference in New Delhi, May 1950 Baguio Conference in Philippines and April 1954 Colombo Powers Conference."9 Comprising mainly on four phases of evolution- "Conception (1977-80), the Meeting of Foreign Secretaries (1981-83), the Meeting of Foreign Secretaries (1983-85), and the Summits (1985-2016)" -the foremost proposal for the establishment of a framework for regional cooperation was put forward by the then President of Bangladesh, Zia ur Rahman, on May 2, 1980. The process started with the meeting between President Zia ur Rahman and newly elected Indian Prime Minister Morarji Desai on the agenda of regional cooperation. It is pertinent to discuss the efficacy of regional cooperation for Bangladesh at that time. For this, numerous developments which led to President Zia ur Rahman's resolve for the making of a Framework for regional cooperation (especially during the period of 1975-1979) are as following:10
1. New South Asian leadership of that time was more prone to diplomatic solutions to various issues;
2. President Zia urRahman needed support to defend his coup d'état regime;
3. Second oil crisis of 1979 generated balance of payment crisis in South Asia countries;
4. Failure of North-South dialogues and increasing protectionism by the developed countries;11
5. Identification of area of cooperation in a report by the Committee on Studies for Cooperation in Development in South Asia (CSCD);12
6. United States and British assurance of economic assistance on water sharing projects; and
7. Soviet invasion in Afghanistan.
In this scenario, the establishment of a regional organization, such as SAARC, became a platform to discuss issues of common interest. The response from regional states remained mixed. As a result of Indian concerns, the Bangladesh draft paper excluded security matters and allowed only non-political areas for cooperation. Finally, as a result of several meetings at foreign secretary and ministerial level, the first SAARC summit meeting of South Asian leaders was convened at Dhaka from December 7-8, 1985."Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka were its founding members."13 Later on, "Australia, China, the European Union, Iran, Japan, South Korea, Mauritius, Myanmar and the United States (US) joined SAARC as observers between 2005 and 2008."14 Similarly, Afghanistan joined SAARC as a member at the "2007 New Delhi Summit",15 while Myanmar applied for membership in 2008 ahead of the Colombo Summit. Russia and Turkey have also applied for observer status membership.
The core objective behind the establishment of SAARC is to augment socio-economic and cultural development of South Asian states through economic cooperation.16 The basis of this cooperation among SAARC countries is based on mutual respect towards one another's sovereignty, integrity and independence. In sum, non-interference in other member states' internal affairs is the yardstick. That is why, bilateral contentious issues are not allowed in the debates of SAARC. According to the SAARC charter17, the objectives of this association are as following:18
1. To enhance and reinforce South Asian self-reliance;
2. To diminish trust deficit among member states;
3. To assist cooperation in economic, social, cultural, technical and other fields;
4. To promote an agenda of common interest in international forums; and
5. To streamline the cooperation with other regional and international organizations.
As a result, "SAARC identified various areas of cooperation in different fields such as agriculture and rural development; science and technology; meteorology; transport; telecommunications; biotechnology; environment and forestry; tourism; energy; women, youth and children; health and population; education, arts, culture and sports; and intellectual property rights etc."19 South Asian University (SAU) was established in India in 2010. Similarly, a food reserve and a food bank were also operationalized in 1987 and 2007 respectively to strengthen food security in South Asia.20 Besides enhancing the people-to-people contacts through a plethora of initiatives21, it also adopted a Social Charter pertaining to the prosperity of women, children, disabled and youth during Islamabad Summit in 2004.22 Furthermore, on the political front, during 2001-02 stand-off between India and Pakistan, Pakistan successfully utilized the forum of SAARC to diffuse the tensions as the then President Perviaz Musharraf approached the then Indian Prime Minister AtalBehari Vajpayee at Kathmandu on the conclusion of the inaugural session of the Eleventh SAARC Summit.23
On the trade and economic integration front, SAARC made noteworthy progress in the past. For instance, agreements aiming at the promotion and facilitation of trade and mutual economic development, such as "South Asian Preferential Trade Agreement 1993 (SAPTA) and South Asian Free Trade Area 2004 (SAFTA) have been concluded."24In furtherance to this, scores of other economic initiatives, such as "SAARC Arbitration Council 2005; Avoidance of Double Taxation and Mutual Administrative Assistance in Tax Matters 2005; Mutual Administrative Assistance in Custom Matters 2005; the formation of South Asian Regional Standards Organization (SARSO) in 2008; Trade in Services 2010 and Energy Cooperation 2014 have been successfully taken by SAARC."25 The most recent agreement was on energy cooperation, titled, "SAARC Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation", signed during the 18th SAARC Summit on 27th November, 2014.26
SAARC Impasse
Unfortunately, most of the aforementioned objectives remained on paper as SAARC remained incapable in the effective realization of its promises.27 For example, SAARC Food Security Reserve could not tackle Bangladesh's 1991 disaster. The fact of the matter is that SAARC activities have mostly been limited to the organization of seminars or workshops and have not been focusing on the effective evolution and development of the region. Likewise, a number of conventions have been signed by the SAARC members on issues of mutual interest, such as eradication of terrorism, suppression of women and child trafficking for prostitution; however, commitments of mutual cooperation to prevent growth of these menaces usually remained trivial. Interestingly, even after SAARC recognized these loopholes in its 13th Summit that was held in 2006 wherein it "directed all SAARC institutions and mechanisms to work collectively towards a decade dedicated to implementation,"28 mutual cooperation among SAARC members again remained insignificant. A former foreign secretary of Nepal articulated SAARC ineffectiveness in the following words:
"We have oceans of documents, ideas, proposals and studies. But we have hardly implemented them. After twenty years, we don't have a regional project that has a SAARC trademark. As one foreign minister joked SAARC may soon become NATO: No Action Talk Only."29
In sum, from unsuccessfulness in achieving Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) to the developing ineffectiveness of the organization, SAARC could not do much for South Asian diaspora.
Challenges to the Effectiveness of SAARC
SAARC's progress has largely been hindered by lingering regional contentions. In other words, its ineffectiveness is embroiled in the regional security complex of South Asia. Though SAARC has completed almost 32 years since its inception in 1985, it could not learn to benefit from its geo-strategic location in the world politics and remained poorest, when compared with other regions. Regrettably, it has continuously been showing downward trends in previous years as well.
The causes of less progress of SAARC in South Asia are many; nevertheless, Indo-Pak rivalry and India's negative politics to isolate Pakistan in the SAARC region are noteworthy. With the purpose of distancing other SAARC countries from Pakistan, India is promoting the sub-regional grouping through the "Bay of Bengal Initiative" for MultiSectoral Technical and Economic Co-operation (BIMSTEC), which provides a BBIN-plus platform."30 BIMSTEC includes SAARC and non-SAARC countries: "Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Sri Lanka and two from south-east Asia, Myanmar and Thailand."31 With the exception of the Maldives, Afghanistan and Pakistan, the other five SAARC countries are included in BIMSTEC. BIMSTEC has pruned its priorities down to five major areas: trade and industry, transport and connectivity, counterterrorism, energy trade and climate change.32 The Indian government also invited the leaders of the BIMSTEC countries to attend the 8th Summit of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) as its observer.
Moreover, another regional body, "South Asia Sub-Regional Economic Cooperation (SASEC) was established in 2001. It comprises of Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal and Sri Lanka."33 Trade, transport and energy projects are the priorities in its Operational Plan 2016-2025 that is worth billions of dollars.34 In their regional initiatives, SASEC countries have endeavored to implement projects pertaining to "energy, economic corridor development, transport, trade facilitation, and information and communications technology sectors worth more than $9 billion in the."35 The initiative, in this regard, is expected to increase mutually beneficial trade between the seven SASEC countries.
Another initiative "the Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal (BBIN), could be seen as a precursor to a possible formal sub-SAARC grouping."36 India has signed the Motor Vehicles Agreement with Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Nepal. This agreement is made to facilitate the seamless movement of people and goods across their borders for the benefit and integration of the region and its economic development. India along with Myanmar is also developing multi-national transport infrastructure on various platforms like SAARC, ASEAN, SASEC, BIMSTEC, Bangladesh-China-IndiaMyanmar (BCIM), "India-Myanmar-Thailand (IMT)"37, and "Mekong Ganga Co-operation (MGC/Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam)."38
Additionally, India is "re-engaging Iran to access Afghanistan via Chabahar, bypassing Pakistan."39 For this purpose, it cooperated to "develop the strategic port of Chabahar in Iran and agreed on a threenation pact to build a transport-and-trade corridor through Afghanistan."40 Its major objective is to bypass Pakistan, access Central Asian and global markets and also serve as an American watchdog in the region to counter China's peaceful rise.
One more initiative "Nepal-India (Dehli-Kathmandu Bus Service) viaSunauli border is India's plan to connect to Nepal."41 The bus service is part of the Motor Vehicles Agreement between the two nations. They will operate on three bus routes - Kathmandu-New Delhi, Pokhara-New Delhi and Kathmandu-Benares.
The above mentioned sub-regional grouping by India and other SAARC countries are being considered as reducing the efficacy of SAARC. Since 1947, due to the Kashmir dispute, India and Pakistan remained at loggerhead. Various initiatives, no doubt, have been taken to normalize these hostile relations; but, the greater share of responsibility for bad relations also goes to India because of being the largest political player of South Asia. It is the largest among SAARC countries. It has preponderance in economic, technological and military sectors of South Asia. Except Afghanistan, India has all other states on its periphery. It is connected to all of them and holds three quarters of regional GDP. But instead of playing a positive role in SAARC for the welfare of the people of this region, India has played games and used SAARC for political gains and to undermine Pakistan's position. While no bilateral disputes are supposed to be discussed at the SAARC platform, India has been using bilateral issues to postpone SAARC meeting. For instance, the last summit of SAARC to be held in Pakistan in 2016 was postponed after India announced that it will boycott the summit because of "cross-border terrorist attacks in the region."42
Besides, the regional countries too could not reach a common dispute resolution mechanism. As a result, some lingering dispute resulted in the distortion of SAARC meetings or summits time and again. Another such issue is the absence of trust. The level of distrust among SAARC member countries is an ongoing hurdle to the effective functioning of SAARC. In a similar way, it has caused the cancellation, disruptions and ineffectiveness of SAARC summits time and again. Dr. Manzoor Ahmad of International Islamic University Islamabad in his paper entitled, "SAARC Summits 1985-2016: The Cancellation Phenomenon" describes reasons for the failure of SAARC summits and its implications for the organization as well as regional cooperation. According to the author, "the most significant reason (for the cancellation of SAARC Summits) include members' bilateral disputes; political problems and contentious issues, with India being a party in almost all of them."43 Main reason for the failure of SAARC have been India's efforts to use the platform of SAARC against Pakistan, despite the fact that the latter has made positive contribution to make the SAARC efficient.
Revitalizing SAARC Would be Beneficial
It is usually being asserted by India that "SAARC is constantly sinking into irrelevance."44 SAARC critics bring up aforementioned causes of the failures of SAARC as an argument to look for options beyond SAARC and find substitutes for regional cooperation. Interestingly, these arguments or criticism are also correct. This does not mean that SAARC should be abandoned but there is a need of renewed efforts to rethink regional priorities and enabling SAARC to fulfill its promises, not the other way around.
So, the main question to be asked here is: why is it pertinent for South Asian states to connect themselves through a regional organization, such as SAARC? The simple answer is: Regional Cooperation. It is only through connectivity by which South Asian states could augment their economic growth rate in the face of an expanding population. Maintaining economic growth rate only is not enough to meet the standards of human security.45 The countries now need to continuously increase their socio-economic development through increasing economic growth rate because of increasing non-traditional security threats in the region, such as climate change. Similarly, to harness the fast developing manufacturing sector in South Asia, regional states need to connect themselves with one another through gas pipeline projects as they are considered to be playing a vital role in importing energy from Central and West Asia. Moreover, TurkmenistanAfghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) and Iran-Pakistan (IP)46 are also salient for energy supply. Though these extra regional initiatives are promising, yet hoping for a breakthrough in near future is improbable because India has already pulled out of IP and the future of TAPI gas pipeline is connected with durable peace and stability in Afghanistan.
Second, connectivity for South Asian states is also a prerequisite to attract greater investment from the outside world. If the region is economically integrated, the projects like 'Make in India,' the "ChinaPakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC),"47 the Bay of Bengal Initiative and a corridor networking Chabahar with Central Asia and similar networks to be initiated in Myanmar with Chinese and Indian investment would multiply not only the incoming investment but also its benefits owing to decreased trust deficit and subsequent hurdles. Similarly, the Heart of Asia process, by establishing peace and stability in Afghanistan, would bring investment as well and will smoothen the operationalization of existing economic, transit trade and energy projects.
Pakistan's Contributions in Past
Pakistan believes that the effectiveness of SAARC for regional integration, despite some setbacks, is still there. In 2017, the ex-Prime Minister of Pakistan Mian Nawaz Sharif had reasserted Pakistan's commitment during a telephonic conversation with the Foreign Minister of Maldives Dr. Mohamed Asim who called on him in Islamabad. According to him, "Pakistan attaches great importance to SAARC and wishes to see it as a vibrant regional organization; and is committed to the principles and objectives of the SAARC Charter."48 The same commitment to SAARC was also reassured by the current Prime Minister of Pakistan, Mr. Shahid Khaqan Abbasi, during his visit to Nepalin March 20 18.49Nepal wants SAARC working50 while Bangladesh is also of the view that the organization must keep working. Logically, the Prime Minister of Bangladesh Sheikh Hasina, on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting 2017 at Davos, asserted that "SAARC is still alive."51 Like Bangladesh, Pakistan has always been a staunch supporter of the body of SAARC and has been actively participating in its evolution. It believes that, through cooperation under the Charter of SAARC, socioeconomic conditions of South Asian Diasporas can be ameliorated, especially by resolving the evils of poverty, illiteracy, hunger and disease.52 Moreover, Pakistan also used the SAARC platform to suggest nuclear disarmament or a South Asian nuclear free zone.53 At the seventh SAARC summit held in Dhaka, Pakistan welcomed and endorsed the objectives of SAPTA suggesting that trade and economic co-operation should form the bedrock for any organization for regional co-operation.54 Pakistan has time and again asserted that only combined regional efforts can eradicate the menace of terrorism; therefore, the solution to this problem warrants cooperation. That is why; Pakistan appreciated the finalization of SAARC Convention on Suppression of Terrorism. Pakistan also regarded "SAARC Convention on Drug Control as an important milestone in the evolution of regional co-operation."55
In parallel, Pakistan stressed the need to evolve a common framework to predict and tackle natural disasters. Having a belief in the immense capacity of the South Asian regional association, Pakistan proposed many important initiatives like that of SAARC 2000 Basic Needs proposal which was adopted at the Islamabad summit in 1988. Pakistan's assertion is that with the economic initiatives like that of CPEC, the geoeconomic and geo-political dynamics of the region are merging, "making it pertinent for South Asian states to cooperate and address bilateral difference simultaneously."56 Pakistan wants SAARC to stay and evolve as a forum for regional economic growth. It believes that the South Asian region with its geographical proximity has great potential for cooperation in the connectivity sector. As far as hostility between India and Pakistan is concerned, problems among any two members should not weigh down the progress in cooperative endeavors among other members in other sub-regions of SAARC. Progress and success story in those areas could serve as an inducement for other areas and lead to the evolution of SAARC as an effective organization.
Reactivating Regional Cooperation under SAARC would be Beneficial
It can be inferred from the above discussion that regional connectivity is the lynchpin of peace, stability, development and prosperity in South Asia. In the contemporary international environment, the significance of South Asia is not only gauged by the fact that it has one fifth population of the world. It also covers an area of 5.22 million square kilometers and is abundant in natural resources. Another fact is that it is home to two nuclear weapon giants: India and Pakistan. The region has become an attractive global market because of its economic growth and vast potential. Its political and strategic importance is increasing with every passing day. As mentioned earlier, South Asia currently, is facing multidimensional challenges, both traditional and non-traditional security threats. Notwithstanding these challenges, there still exists huge economic potential.
Efficacy of SAARC: Future Prospects
SAARC is still effective but there is a lot of work which needs to be done for making it more relevant. The organization is very much alive. The alarming fact is that one canceled meeting is taken as an indication that SAARC has become completely ineffective and should be abandoned. The relationship between India and Bangladesh or India and Sri Lanka ten years ago was not exactly as cooperative as today. Progress is made by leadership which is truly powerful, mature and wise in every aspect. The fact that one particular relationship is not yet matured should not lead the states to a conclusion that this entire constellation of countries cannot relate. The nature of the conflict in Europe was much pessimistic but today it is the best example of regional integration. It did not happen overnight; there were many cancelled meetings and fail ed steps that brought Europe to where it is today. No doubt it has come through a pag . Though, the "19th SAARC Summit to be held in Pakistan was postponed after India refused to participate"57, but it should not be a worrisome matter if only one of all SAARC Summits was postponed. There should not be any illogical reason for this kind of apprehension. The hope is that next the SAARC Summit could take place in the near future. It should be kept in mind that SAARC is not meant only for economic cooperation but also for cultural and people to people contact, and for all the resource sharing in the region.
Palpable Economic Ventures under SAARC
Currently, South Asia has a small business venture; however there could be high number of business opportunities. There are 1.8 billion people living in South Asia. The GDP Growth is 7 percent. About 25 percent of the world's middle class is living in this particular region. This could be taken as a huge opportunity. Though the total level of intra-regional trade today is 5 percent of the total trade but it could be increased. The states have to start small and think really big but without any hurry. Every regional stakeholder needs to begin taking small steps. The Motor Vehicle Agreement between Bangladesh, Bhutan and India is such an example. Starting with bilateral or with two or more countries is a good idea. Moreover, cross border movement will open up a supply chain opportunity. Pakistan should suggest small, bilateral, trilateral, quadrilaterals relations. In other words, it has to do whatever is possible. Eventually, this mosaic and jigsaw will begin to fill with trade. As the economic linkages strengthen, the inherent potential for conflict will reduce. Connectivity and free movement of people in Europe has been a huge advantage for trade. There is no direct connection between Delhi and Islamabad, but the trade between two countries happens via Dubai. So, direct connectivity, visas, arrival and facilitating movement of people are precursors to good trade.
The normalization of relations between India and Pakistan will take time. There is enough evidence from big countries that without resolving the issues, a country can still start trading. The anticipated SAARC Summit in 2016 in Pakistan could have been a beginning of the transformational movement. There is still an element of common toes where SAARC is today? The brave and resilient leadership is a necessity to do this. South Asia has a brave leadership with women also in politics. The smaller countries need to particularly push India to be the big country with a big heart, and to do this it has to invest in multilateral forums.
Indo-Pak Rapprochement
Pakistan's disturbed relations with India have also hindered its trade relations with other SAARC countries. For instance, Pakistan has minimal trade relations with Nepal and Bhutan because of geographical constraints. Similarly, India has more trade relations with Bangladesh and Sri Lanka than these countries have with Pakistan. The core problem remains that Pakistan has to have good relations with India for trade with Nepal, Bhutan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. In a similar way, India depends on Pakistan's cooperation for land trade route to Afghanistan. Moreover, it becomes more difficult if there is an obvious asymmetry between two states, with the stronger party unwilling to renounce the use of force. Therefore, both India and Pakistan need to normalize their relationship for effective regional integration.
Revamping other Thematic Issues
In South Asia, more importance is given to trade and too little initiative is taken to solve issues like education, health-care, information, common- values, articulation, women-child malnutrition, equal-opportunity enforcement etc. All issues are particularly prevalent in the region and are source of difficulties among the countries and the very reason for a communion into SAARC. These issues need to be addressed on a priority basis, especially poverty alleviation and education. Moreover, the internet connectivity within the region can be of great importance for eeducation and to transform the educational platform. The educational reach across the region is possible through using the internet. It does not require school buildings, hiring of hundreds or thousands of qualified teachers and other infrastructure which require a huge capital.
SAARC as a Non-Political Forum
Since its inception, SAARC was never a political forum. On Indian demand, a clause was made and included stating that all bilateral political issues and conflicts between states will not be discussed on SAARC platform. India itself has been exploiting the forum for political objectives. The primary objective of establishing a body like SAARC was to promote welfare of South Asian people and improve in their life standards; yet its achievements for the said objectives are fewer. India also has attempted a "minus-Pakistan formula"58, and is exploring options for alternative regional alliances.
Menace of Climate Change (CC)
Another welcome step by SAARC is the launch of SAARC satellite to boost cooperation in telecommunication among the member countries. Bangladesh is combating the impacts of CC by setting up a climate change trust fund with own funding of $400 million. It does not rely on others alongside framing some 134 action plans to tackle the implications of CC. Pakistan's Ministry of CC can collaborate with the relevant ministries in the region and assist the Bengali government. Pakistan is one of the four countries who have presented and are working on 'Climate Action Bill.' Therefore, Pakistan could sign MoUs with Bangladesh for joint ventures to tackle the climate change induced threats.59
SAARC member countries have consensus on CC and environmental protection. SAARC has already appreciated Bhutan's concept, the 'Gross National Happiness.' It believes that this concept is a lesson for China and for all mankind as it allows sustainable growth without endangering the earth.
SAARC Summit on Annual Basis
The annual meetings of SAARC are a means to promote social connections between key global power players and national leaders. Unless India cooperates willingly by participating in the process and does not bring in its bilateral political issues with Pakistan into consideration of improving trade connectivity, SAARC simply cannot move forward. Pakistan also needs to propose that "SAARC summit must be held no matter what may come for effective working of SAARC."60
A Greater SAARC
A greater SAARC concept was propagated by Senator Mushahid Hussein Syed, during his New York visit in 2016. This greater South Asia includes China, Iran and the neighboring Central Asian Republics (CARs). CPEC is considered the most important economic route which can link South Asia with Central Asia. Similarly, the Gwadar port would be the nearest warm water port, not only for China but also for the landlocked CARs. Pakistan has already invited its neighbor India to join the initiative. Landlocked Afghanistan is most likely to get the most benefits from a greater South Asian alliance."Afghanistan's presence in SAARC justifies Pakistan's argument that Central Asian nations can be included in a greater South Asia."61 This would essentially help Pakistan in tackling India's hegemony over the organization, giving it more chances of effective operationalization. It will also provide Pakistan with a greater maneuvering space in case India tries to isolate Pakistan regionally.
Smart Borders
Like the EU, the whole idea of SAARC is a common market. The economy of a scale even in a smaller country like Bhutan can benefit from BIMSTEC. To get all the encompassing issues, like connectivity, people to people contact and free trade in the region, it should fall in a place so that the whole region can benefit.
There is a need for smart borders or seamless connectivity in the whole region. It includes not only roads and bridges but maritime, railway, telecom, and the rest of it. The trade can go to 100 billion62 if SAARC countries just ensure seamless connectivity in the region because doing business with neighboring states is cheaper than doing it with countries in North America. The transportation cost and the barriers at the custom point are really not enabling.
Power Sharing - The SAARC Grid63
Power can be a tradable product in the South Asian region easily. Same strategy can be formulated to manage water through common basin management. Similarly, there are great prospects for intra-state electricity trade among the SAARC countries. The SAARC working group on energy also reflects this objective. Another initiative could be the creation of a power pool or the 'SAARC grid' to enable the region to utilize its sources of electricity optimally by balancing the demand and supply. It would not only make electricity cheaper but also reliable. Additionally, it would create interdependence among SAARC countries to a win-win solution
Sharing Water
Himalayas are the water towers of Asia. They have the hydro-power potential to supply electricity to the entire region. Power trade with Central Asia offers vast opportunities. Countries, such as Tajikistan and Kyrgyz Republic have excessive hydro resources of wells. They are more than public domestic need. Pakistan and India can offer them major import markets. Regional cooperation can also help tap natural complementarities. For instance, when Bhutan and Nepal's rivers are full of water in the summer, there is a vast hydro power generation potential. Bangladesh, India and Pakistan have the greater demand for electricity to cope with the summer heat. Less than 20% of South Asia's hydropower potential is developed while energy sharing also remains minimum. By developing this hydro potential, building cross border transmission lines and eventually emerging into a regional energy market, electricity can reach thousands of energy businesses and billions of people still living in the dark.
The great rivers of South Asia like Indus, Ganges and Brahmaputra are more than just energy potential. They support life and supply resources; however, conflicting demands on these waters cause tensions, distrust and little or no cooperation between countries while the risks from natural disasters and climate change continue to grow. During past two decades, natural disasters affected over 800 million people and billions of dollars were lost. With cross border cooperation on water and river basins, flood forecasting and early warning systems, lives and resources can be saved.
Sharing Goods and Services
Trade among the countries of South Asia could increase economic growth enormously. The trade potential in South Asia is 100%; yet, its intraregional trade is the lowest in the world making less than 5 % of the total world trade. The land locked countries and sub-regions are affected the most since they depend on the neighboring states to access the sea and global markets. Goods are often moved through secure routes sometimes up to eight times the distance to destination. Border crossings are so heavily congested taking take days to cross. As a result it costs more to trade within South Asia than with the countries outside the region. For example, despite the geographic neighbors, the trade cost between India and Pakistan is 20 % more than India to Brazil which is over 9000 miles away. South Asia already has the resources to meet its development challenges; the water, energy and trade potential are waiting to be developed. What is needed is cooperation.
Consequently, following steps are the cornerstone to revitalize regional cooperation under SAARC:
1. Political will for regional connectivity will decrease the level of conflict, insecurity and underdevelopment in South Asia.
2. Resumption of composite dialogues should be assured to normalize relations between India and Pakistan as apparently cordial Indo-Pak ties can reincarnate SAARC.
3. The use of hard power to eradicate terrorism and to establish law and order could not bring socio-economic development to the people of affected areas in South Asia. Therefore, use of political and economic approaches in conjunction with the boots on the ground is necessary.
4. Owing to proximity among South Asian states, cross-border cooperation is inevitable if reduction of conflicts, tackling the menace of terrorism and smooth trade is the intention of South Asian leaders.
5. Nepal and Bhutan can play a decisive role in regional integration through SAARC. Both nations are abundant in hydropower but there is a need to look for regional economic cooperation for prosperity. Through joint economic initiatives, both targets can be achieved.
6. China's full membership in SAARC could bring stability in SAARC working. It can definitely reduce Indian political and economic clout on it. Over and above that, China is already investing in Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives and Nepal in the shape of CPEC and other such economic ventures. So, construction of CPEC and BCIM corridors will strengthen inter-regional connectivity among South Asian countries as well as their intra-regional association.
7. Most importantly, peace in Afghanistan is not possible without regional cooperation. Pakistan would be having a central role in it. Nevertheless, SAARC members could help in sustaining the peace initiatives, such as Heart of Asia process as well as operationalizing trade and energy corridors for Afghanistan in particular and South Asia in general.
8. The South Asian countries could follow best practices by other regional organizations like ASEAN and EU etc. Learning from their practices and mistakes would build stronger regional ties to fulfill regional objectives.
9. The burden of slow growth of SAARC lies with member nations' lack of willingness to align domestic agendas with SAARC agendas.
10. Normalization of political relations between SAARC member states, especially between India and Pakistan, should be encouraged for better SAARC interaction.
11. SAARC does not have any robust conflict-resolution mechanism like that of ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) where the South Asian states could discuss and move forward from their political disputes. The annual summits and periodic ministerial meetings do not usually result in desired outcomes. Therefore, political will for the establishment of a mechanism to resolve such disputes is also need of the hour.
12. There is also an urgent need to promote tourism among the SAARC member states. It can stimulate confidence amongst people as well as enhance people-to-people contact of the region for greater economic cooperation.
13. Establishing joint infrastructure funds are also important. They can work as a joint investment company to facilitate connectivity and cross border investments in the region, which could result in the establishment of a SAARC bank to facilitate the process.
14. One of the very crucial issues that SAARC as a regional forum has not formally discussed yet is human rights. No committee has ever been created within SAARC to discuss and promote this basic issue. India itself is abusing human rights in Indian Occupied Kashmir by coercing laws like "Jammu and Kashmir Public Safety Act 1978; Terrorist and Disruptive Activities (Prevention) Act (TADA) 1987; Armed Forces Special Power Act 1990 and Prevention of Terrorism Act (POTA)."64 Moreover, being cognizant of this reality thoroughly, India, already having major portion of Kashmir, feels that it can maintain status quo over Kashmir easily. This has led India to pursue delaying tactics over negotiations. Moreover, India thinks that over time Kashmiri movements will die down slowly and gradually. Therefore, SAARC as an organization should take positive measures to ensure an environment that enables all people in the region to enjoy their rights.
15. India does not show its willingness to cooperate under the ambit of SAARC but developing a common vision for regional growth is necessary for the future of SAARC. All SAARC member states should be on one page to keep SAARC alive.
16. SAARC can also benefit from a framework with the objectives of a secure regional environment by joint planning of civilian and military operations and comprehensive approach to crisis management like that of the EU's Crisis Management and Planning Directorate (CMPD).
Conclusion
Despite many loopholes, SAARC has not been entirely inactive. What needs to be ensured, however, is that SAARC evolution or development should not get embroiled with the power play in the region. In this vein, a lot remains to be done. Nevertheless, with pragmatic and practicable way forward loopholes can be turned into opportunities. The foremost challenge that would prevail is building of trust among South Asian states, especially India and Pakistan. As far as Pakistan is concerned, it is optimistic regarding SAARC's future and is always ready to facilitate regional integration for economic growth and alleviating poverty in the region. In order to achieve this objective, contentious issues need to be addressed but not at the cost of SAARC proceedings. Therefore, sincerity and mutual accommodation through result oriented dialogues is of paramount importance currently. SAARC will undoubtedly benefit from China's full membership by inserting new spirit and vigor in the organization. The writing on the wall is that regional states cannot move forward without pragmatism and flexibility. This is the only way out.
1 "Pakistan, Sri Lanka need to revive SAARC Forum: PM", Daily Pakistan Today, March 9, 2018, available at https://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2018/03/09/pakistan-sri-lankaneed-to-work-for-revive-of-saarc-forum-pm/, accessed on March 10, 2018.
2 SAARC Secretariat, SAARC: A Profile, (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat, 2004), P.1011.
3 Moazzen Hussain, lyanlur Islam and Reza Kibra, South Asian Economic Development: Transformation, Opportunities and Challenges (London, New York: Rutledge, 1999), P.145.
4 J.S. Nye, ed., Inter Regionalism: Readings (Boston: Little Brown, 1969), P. 8.
5 Deutsch, Karl W. The Analysis of International Relations, Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1968, P. 212.
6 Ibid, P. 213.
7(Neo) functionalism is a theory of regional integration that places major emphasis on the role of non-state actors-especially, the 'secretariat' of the regional organization and interest associations in that specific functional area. One of the most attractive features of (neo) functionalism is its supranational structure. Furthermore, decisions are made by majority votes, hence, it is possible for a member-state to force by the other memberstates to implement a decision against its will. Inter-governmentalism, by contrast, is a method of decision-making in international organizations, where power is possessed by the member-states and decisions are made by unanimity. Independent appointees of the government or elected representatives have solely advisory or implementational functions. For detail see at: http://encyclopedia.laborlawtalk.com/Supranationalism (accessed on 31 August 2005), and http://encyclopedia.laborlawtalk.com/ Intergovernmentalism (accessed on 31 August 2005).
8Ben Rosamond, Theories of European Integration (New York: Palgrave, 2000), P. 60.
9 Hafeez Malik, ed., Dilemmas of National Security and Cooperation in India and Pakistan (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1993), P. 276.
10 Muhammad Jamshed Iqbal, "SAARC: Origin, Growth, Potential and Achievements," Pakistan Journal of History & Culture XXVII, no. 2 (2006), p. 132.
11 Muni Anuradha and S.D. Muni, Regional Cooperation in South Asia (New Delhi: National Publishing House, 1984), P. 29-31.
12 "Report of the Evolution Mission on the CSCD Programme", Committee for Studies on Cooperation in Development in South Asia, available at https://idl-bncidrc.dspacedirectorg/bitstream/handle/10625/11192/96562.pdf?sequence=1&isAnowed= y, accessed on February 17, 2018.
13 "South Asian Association for regional Cooperation", Asian Organization, Encyclopedia Britannica, available at https://www.britannica.com/topic/South-AsianAssociation-for-Regional-Co-operation, accessed on February 17, 2018.
14 Ibid.
15 Afghanistan inducted as 8th member: 14th SAARC Summit begins", Dawn, April 4, 2007, available at https://www.dawn.com/news/240651, accessed on February 4, 2018.
16 Verinder Grover, ed., Encyclopedia of SAARC (South Asian Association of Regional Cooperation) Nations (New Delhi: 1997), P. 23.
17 South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation, Compilation of SAARC Charter/Conventions/Agreements (1985-2016), available at http://saarcsec.org/publications/detail/compilation-of-saarc-charterconventionsagreements-19852016, accessed on June 28, 2017.
18 Ibid.
19 SAARC Secretariat, SAARC: A Profile, (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat, 2004), P. 10-11.
20 SAARC Secretariat, SAARC Summits, 1985-1988 (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat, 1990), P. 151-153 and 209-215.
21 SAARC Secretariat, "Area of Cooperation: People-to-People Contacts" (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat), available at http://saarc-sec.org/areaofcooperation/catdetail.php?cat_id=52, accessed on June 30, 2017.
22 SAARC Secretariat, "SAARC Social Charter" (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat), available athttp://saarc-sec.org/areaofcooperation/detail.php?activity_id=7, accessed on June 30, 2017.
23 Javednaqvi, "Musharraf offers sustained talks: Handshake with Vajpayee charms SAARC", DAWN, January 6, 2002, available at https://www.dawn.com/news/13684, accessed on June 29, 2017.
24 Seekkuwa Wasam Hirantha, "From SAPTA to SAFTA: Gravity Analysis of South Asian Free Trade", European Trade Study Group (ETSG), available at http://www.etsg.org/ETSG2004/Papers/hirantha.pdf, accessed on February 5, 2018.
25 SAARC Secretariat, "Agreements and Conventions" (Kathmandu: SAARC Secretariat), available athttp://saarc-sec.org/Agreements/69/, accessed on June 24, 2017.
26 SAARC Framework Agreement for Energy Cooperation (Electricity), available at http://www.moen.gov.np/pdf_files/SAARC-Framework-Agreement.pdf, accessed on June 29, 2017.
27 E. Sudhakar, SAARC: Origin, Growth and Future (Lahore: Book Traders, 1994), P. 200.
28 Thirteenth SAARC Summit, "Dhaka Declaration," November 13, 2005, available at sec.org/userfiles/Summit%20Declarations/13%20-%20Dhaka%20%2013th%20Summit%2012-13%20Nov%202005.pdf, accessed on June 24, 2017.
29 Cited by Lok Raj Baral, "Cooperation with Realism: The Future of South Asian Regionalism," South Asian Survey 13, No. 2 (2006): P. 266.
30 BIMSTEC Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation," BIMSTEC Secretariat Newsletter, Dhaka, Bangladesh, available at http://www.bimstec.org/index.php?page=overview, accessed on April 1, 2017.
31 Ibid.
32 Pratim Ranjan Bose, "BIMSTEC trying to reinvent itself, after two decades," The Hindu, March 31, 2016, available at http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/bimstectrying-to-reinvent-itself-after-two-decades/artide8418842.ece, accessed on April 7, 2017.
33 "South Asia Sub regional Economic Cooperation," Asian Development Bank, available at https://www.adb.org/countries/subregional-programs/sasec, accessed on April 1, 2017.
34 Rezaul Karim, "SAARC Summit Minus Pakistan?" Asia News Network, October 6, 2016, available at http://annx.asianews.network/content/saarc-summit-minus-pakistan29682, accessed on May 30, 2017.
35 Ibid.
36 Vikaskumar, "The South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation: Part One-The problem of SAARC," Future Directions International, November 17, 2016, http://www.futuredirections.org.au/publication/south-asian-association-regional-cooperation-part-one-problems-saarc/, accessed on April 23, 2017.
37 NareshBana, "The road to Mekong: the India-Myanmar-Thailand trilateral highway project," Observer Research Foundation, February 7, 2017, available at http://www.orfonline.org/research/the-road-to-mekong-the-india-myanmar-thailandtrilateral-highway-project/, accessed on April 23, 2017.
38 "Mekong-Ganga Cooperation (MGC)", The Ministry of External Affairs, India, March 2017, available at http://www.mea.gov.in/Portal/ForeignRelation/Brief_MGC_March_2017.pdf, accessed on February 5, 2018.
39 Victor Mallet, "India to bypass Pakistan on the road to Central Asia," Financial Times, May 24, 2016, available at, https://www.ft.com/content/8510176c-2188-11e6-9d4dc11776a5124d, accessed on April 7, 2017.
40 India, Iran and Afghanistan sign Chabahar port agreement," Hindustan Times, May 24, 2016, available at http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/india-iran-afghanistan-signchabahar-port-agreement/story-2EytbKZeo6zeCIpR8WSuAO.html, accessed on March 25, 2017.
41 Devendra Bhattarai, "India upgrading roads along Nepal border," The Kathmandu Post, September 3, 2015, available at http://kathmandupost.ekantipur.com/news/201509-03/india-upgrading-roads-along-nepal-border.html, accessed on April 24, 2017.
42Kaloll Bhattachargee, "SAARC Summit to be Cancelled", The Hindu, November 3, 2016, available at http://www.thehindu.com/news/intemational/SAARC-summit-to-becancelled/artide15004093.ece, accessed on April 15, 2018.
43 Manzoor Ahmad, "SAARC Summits 1985-2016: The Cancellation Phenomenon", IPRI Journal XVII, No. 1 (Winter 2017), P. 52.
44 Pramit Pal Chaudhuri, "SAARC should be allowed to drift into oblivion," Hindustan Times, February 22, 2017, available at http://www.hindustantimes.com/analysis/saarcshould-be-allowed-to-drift-into-oblivion/story-lkiULsWDJjfp7doqHGiodM.html, accessed on May 29, 2017.
45 Mahbub ul Haq Human Development Centre, Human Development in South Asia 2005: Human Security in South Asia (Oxford University Press, 2006), P. 1.
46 Saman Zulfqar, "Pakistan's Energy Security: Viability of Regional Options", IPRI Journal of Current Affairs, Vol 2. No 2, 2018, available at http://www.ipripak.org/wpcontent/uploads/2018/01/art3szj22.pdf, accessed on January 12, 2018.
47 "China Pakistan Economic Corridor", CPEC - Government of Pakistan, available at http://cpec.gov.pk, accessed on December 22, 2017.
48 "Pakistan committed to objectives of SAARC Charter", says PM, The Nation, April 25, 2017, available at http://nation.com.pk/national/25-Apr-2017/pakistan-committed-toobjectives-of-saarc-charter-says-pm, accessed on June 25. 2017.
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52 General Mohammad Zia-ul-Haq, Address at the concluding session of the first SAARC Summit at Dhaka, 1985, in SAARC Summits 1985-88, Vol. I, published by SAARC Secretariat, Kathmandu, August 1990, P. 39.
53 Mohammad Khan Junejo, Address at the inaugural session of the Third SAARC Summit, Kathmandu, 1987, P. 25.
54 Farooq Ahmed Khan Leghari, Address at the inaugural session of the Seventh SAARC Summit, New Delhi, 1985, P. 116.
55 Mohammad Nawaz Sharif, Address at the concluding session of the Fifth SAARC Summit at Mali, P. 43.
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60 Manzoor Ahmad, "SAARC Summits 1985-2016: The Cancellation Phenomenon", IPRI Journal XVII, No. 1 (Winter 2017), P. 52.
61 Anwar Iqbal, "Pakistan seeks bigger Saarc to counter India's influence", Dawn, October 12, 2016, available at https://www.dawn.com/news/1289685, accessed on July 2, 2017.
62 Sanjay Kathuria, "5 things to boost South Asian regional trade to $100 billion in 5 years", The World Bank, September 28, 2015, available at http://blogs.worldbank.org/ endpovertyinsouthasia/5-things-boost-south-asian-regional-trade-100-binion-5-years, accessed on April 15, 2018.
63 Abdul Matin, "Prospects of a SAARC Power Grid", South Asia Journal, July 8, 2015, available at http://southasiajoumal.net/prospect-of-a-saarc-power-grid/, accessed on June 21, 2017.
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Abstract
The modern panacea for many economic and political ills is regional integration. South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) was also established aiming at regional integration and economic connectivity. However, for many years, its performance proved to be disappointing because of a lot of political riddles. SAARC critics bring up causes for ineffectiveness of SAARC as an argument to look for options beyond SAARC and find alternate avenues for regional cooperation. A?s a matter of fact, renewed efforts rethinking regional priorities and enabling SAARC to fulfill its promises are need of the hour, not the other way around. The revitalization of SAARC, in this regard, could be a better option for South Asian integration. Additionally, with a pragmatic way forward, challenges can be turned into opportunities. Therefore, this paper tries to reestablish the relevance of SAARC in contemporary regional environment by highlighting objectives behind its origin, its previous achievements and capacity to bring all SAARC members on the same page for regional growth. Moreover, it tries to proffer the fact that SAARC is still alive and regional states can adopt a collective course of action to make it effective.
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Details
1 The writer is a Research Officer at Islamabad Policy Research Institute





